Could Trump’s Secret Crypto Move Transform America’s Financial Future by 2026?

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Betting markets on Kalshi indicate a 70% likelihood that President-elect Donald Trump will establish a Bitcoin reserve by 2026. Similarly, Polymarket bettors estimate a 42% chance of this occurring within his first 100 days in office. These odds have risen by approximately 20% from earlier this month.

Kalshi and Polymarket have gained attention for their accuracy in prediction markets, having forecasted the outcomes of the US elections more effectively than traditional polling methods. Trump, who advocated for the US to become a leader in cryptocurrency at the Bitcoin 2024 conference, also proposed the creation of a national Bitcoin reserve. This proposal resonates with US Senator Cynthia Lummis’ BITCOIN Act, which seeks to require the Treasury Department to acquire 1 million BTC over five years.


Recent reports suggest Trump is open to including a diverse range of cryptocurrencies, such as USD Coin, Solana, and XRP, in this potential reserve. Furthermore, Trump intends to issue an executive order prioritizing cryptocurrency on a national level once in office.

CoinShares, a digital asset investment firm, has opined that forming a Bitcoin reserve in the US could have a more significant long-term impact on the asset’s adoption compared to the introduction of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in 2024. With anticipation surrounding the potential moves of the incoming administration, the cryptocurrency industry remains vigilant to see if these promises materialize.