Bitcoin ETF Market Bounces Back; Global Wealth Managers Eye $1 Trillion Investment Potential


In the wake of a week characterized by net outflows, the spot Bitcoin ETF market demonstrated an impressive revival, characterized by substantial net inflows. This resurgence underscores a mounting confidence among investors in Bitcoin and its affiliated fiscal offerings. The market action over the past week stands in stark contrast to the prior five-day period marked by a consistent pattern of net outflows. On Tuesday, the market bore witness to a significant net inflow of $480 million, followed closely by Wednesday’s net inflow of $243.5 million.

This resurgence in investor activity was significantly bolstered by Blackrock’s sizable inflow of $323.8 million, effectively neutralizing Grayscale GBTC’s outflows, which rounded out around $299.8 million. Notably, despite experiencing its less than stellar day with just $1.5 million in outflows, Ark Invest’s ARKB reported its most successful day to date, with inflows totaling $200 million. Fidelity also managed to rally, finishing the period with significant inflows of $261 million and another $279 million on Monday and Tuesday, respectively.

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Looking at the broader picture, Matt Hougan, Bitwise’s Chief Investment Officer (CIO), believes this to be only the dawn of something much more substantial looming on the horizon. As part of his weekly memo to investment professionals, Hougan provides insight into the current market dynamics and the monumental potential presenting itself. According to Hougan, Bitcoin ETFs are only at the very beginning of an extremely promising journey.

Recent market trends have been marked by sharp fluctuations, with Bitcoin prices regularly swinging between the $60,000 and $70,000 marks. Amidst this volatility, Hougan advises maintaining a calm and long-term perspective. Anticipations around upcoming developments, such as the Bitcoin halving estimated to take place around April 20, the approval of Bitcoin ETFs on national platforms, and the imminent completion of due diligence by various investment committees only add to this air of excitement.

Despite Bitcoin’s current sideways trajectory, Hougan holds a bullish outlook on its long-term path. He asserts that Bitcoin is experiencing a fervent bull market, citing a nearly 300% increase over the past 15 months. The launching of spot Bitcoin ETFs in January marks a key milestone in its journey, creating unprecedented access for investment professionals to the Bitcoin market.

Hougan’s analysis hints at a seismic shift as global wealth managers, who collectively control more than $100 trillion, begin to consider investments in this “digital gold.” He estimates that even with a conservative allocation of 1% of their portfolios to Bitcoin, this could result in around $1 trillion of inflows into the sector.

Historical data supports this perspective, demonstrating that even a moderate 2.5% allocation to Bitcoin has consistently bolstered the risk-adjusted returns of traditional 60/40 portfolios within every three-year period of Bitcoin’s history.

Despite the recent impressive inflows into Bitcoin ETFs, Hougan perceives these as merely the starting point of a much larger trend. “We are all excited about the $12 billion that has flowed into ETFs since January. And it is exciting…But imagine global wealth managers allocate just 1% of their portfolios to Bitcoin on average,” he elaborates. He concludes by considering the potential growth lying ahead for the cryptocurrency market, underscoring that against a potential inflow of $1 trillion, current inflows barely make a dent.

As of the time of writing, BTC was exchanging hands at $70,644, showcasing exciting prospects for the future of the cryptocurrency market.