In the often turbulent world of cryptocurrency, Bitcoin has recently seen its most significant drop since the FTX crash in November 2022, with a dip of over 20% from its record high of approximately $74,000. While some are voicing concerns, the feet of analysts at Glassnode remain firmly planted on the ground. These tech seers continue to harbor a cautious optimism about the digital coin’s future.
The macro uptrend of Bitcoin, Glassnode observes, remains one of the strongest and most reliable in history. Even when corrections occur, they have proven to be relatively shallow compared to traditional markets. An increase in liquidity, combined with a decrease in volatility, has strengthened Bitcoin’s overall position, leaving Glassnode and others bullish on its prospects.
Following this downturn from the highs of March 2023, Bitcoin has demonstrated a somewhat labored effort to cling to its uptrend. As it stands, Bitcoin has a support level around $60,000. However, a critical reaction mark to observe is $56,500 on the downswing. Should prices rebound and surpass the $66,000 threshold, a rally could potentially catapult Bitcoin past $72,000, even reaching the previous $74,000 zenith.
Yet, in order for the bulls to sustain their momentum and cause prices to rally, there must be consideration for underlying fundamental elements. Despite the potential for price action structures to lend support, history reveals that the catalysts directing price are often tied to market events.
Glassnode maintains that Bitcoin’s robust macro trend, exuding bullish vibes, has smoothed out volatility spikes, which in turn have aided in the maintenance of the uptrend. The cumulative impact of increasingly shallow corrections gives testament, as noted by Glassnode, to a maturing market supported by an increasing number of institutions.
The certainty regarding Bitcoin’s future remains high. On-chain data highlight how one major player has capitalized on the reduced prices due to the correction, resulting in a veritable coin hoard. Over the last week, this whale has amassed over 100 BTC, making their total haul for the month over 7,257 BTC. This aggressive accumulation implies that, despite the fact that Bitcoin is at an all-time high, it might still be undervalued.
Additionally, indicators suggest more tailwinds might be on the horizon for Bitcoin. Just this week, former United States president Donald Trump has begun to embrace crypto donations in his ongoing campaign—a marked change from his earlier dismissal and viewed as a bullish move.
Simultaneously, European regulators seem poised to give Bitcoin the green light as an approved investment within the Undertakings for Collective Investment in Transferable Securities (UCITS) funds. Should this be realized, it could potentially unlock billions more from European institutions into the Bitcoin market.
Concurrently, influential banking entities such as Morgan Stanley and BNP Paribas are investigating ways for their clients to invest in BTC.
Turning to macro-level considerations, the growing M2 money supply in the United States underscores the concerns raised by the United States Federal Reserve about high inflation. This could buoy demand for Bitcoin, which like gold, is considered a safe haven and hedge against inflation, due to its deflationary supply design.
